October 18, 2026
The Sanctions Are Tough. Their Implementation Is Optional.
The White House has found a tidy way to implement a sanctions law: write down the penalties, then waive them in the same executive order. Section 2 supplies the menace. Section 4 handles the customer complaints.
President Trump signed the Graham Act on September 18. On October 16, before its October 18 deadlines for major new measures, he waived central sanctions and tariffs. The order specifies an additional 500 percent duty on Russian goods and 100 percent duties on goods from qualifying major Russian-energy buyers and sanctions-evasion facilitators. Then it waives those duties. Even the paperwork gets to experience American toughness before being excused from it.
The suspension reaches beyond tariffs. It covers the law's new financial-institution sanctions, investment restrictions and energy-sector measures, among other provisions. It does not erase every Russia sanction. The order expressly preserves preexisting executive sanctions under the Russian harmful-activities emergency. Moscow has received substantial relief, not a certificate saying everything is now permitted.
Congress also supplied the waiver authority. Section 115 allows it after a written national-interest certification and an explanatory report to Congress. Trump's order says both were submitted. This is discretion built into the law, not evidence that the president illegally ignored it. Congress wrote a stern instruction with a presidential option to decline.
On October 17, Marco Rubio said Trump wanted a 60-day period to study the economic effects. That deserves careful translation. Sixty days describes the review, not an expiration date printed on the waiver. Section 4(d) keeps the waivers in effect until the president or secretary of state determines further action is appropriate, with the specified consultations. The alarm clock is in the press remarks. The order says somebody will decide when to get up.
Rubio's strongest defense is serious: penalties aimed at Russia also hit partners such as India, which cannot instantly replace Russian energy. He cited overlapping supply disruptions involving Iran, the Houthis and the Russia-Ukraine war. Higher fuel costs hurt households and businesses; weakening an important partnership can carry security costs. Sanctions are supposed to change behavior, not win a contest for the most expensive announcement.
He also defended the separate diesel agreement, arguing Russia would sell the fuel anyway. Reuters reported resumed export loadings, including a tanker heading toward Morocco. That establishes movement, not completion of a promised American purchase. More supply could help consumers. It does not establish what pressure on Moscow the wider waiver preserves. Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned the waiver would embolden Putin and prolong the war. That risk belongs in the calculation too.
A government can reasonably revise a policy after weighing its costs. Here it signed the law, waived central provisions, then explained that it needed more time to weigh them. The public deserves the analysis behind that sequence and a clear test for restoring the penalties. Congress provided penalties strong enough to announce and discretion broad enough to postpone them. Washington is now enjoying both features.
Sources
- Reuters, Oct. 17, 2026: Rubio says Trump to take up to 60 days to weigh Russia sanctions
- State Department, Oct. 17, 2026: Secretary of State Marco Rubio Remarks to the Press
- White House, Oct. 16, 2026: Implementing the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026
- Congress.gov, Sept. 18, 2026: Public Law 119-111: Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026
- Reuters, Oct. 15, 2026: Kremlin says Russia restarts diesel exports after deal with Trump